Tuesday, November 04, 2008
U.S. elections unpredictable
11–01–2008 – RBC News – It is very hard to predict the outcome of the 2008 presidential election in the United States, chairman of the Federation Council’s foreign affairs committee Mikhail Margelov told journalists today. He pointed out that, although Republican candidate John McCain was lagging behind Democrat Barack Obama, he could still win the race. Everyone is talking about Obama’s lead, but these figures are just poll results, the Russian politician notes. “It is one thing when we look at polls, as many respondents cannot even tell one soldier from the other, but it is a whole different matter when people actually have to press an actual button and cast a vote in favor of one candidate,” Margelov said. He reiterated that there were precedents in U.S. history, for instance in governors’ elections, when the candidate had the lead during an election campaign, but lost in the elections. Furthermore, we should not forget that popular California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, who endorses Republican candidate John McCain, has encouraged Barack Obama to “start beefing up” and “put some meat on his ideas.” Evidently, most of affluent Americans are going to vote for McCain, the senator believes. “It is hard to forecast how the Jewish population will vote. They say that in terms of money, these people have just as much money as the Republicans do, but usually vote democratic. At the same time, influential Americans are scared of Obama’s economic program,” Margelov stated. According to the official, “the pitfall of Barack Obama’s campaign was buying up prime time on television.” During the crisis, the candidate should be a little more frugal and behave in the way most Americans do at the moment. “But McCain’s primary point is his army-style boldness and predictability, while his less experienced competitor may fail under the load of problems, as some experts say,” the official warned. Margelov stressed that he understood that “making forecasts is not the best thing to do, but the gap separating Obama and McCain is closing, and it is happening not in the middle of the campaign, but just prior to the Election Day.”
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